The tax review came out yesterday, and I have been reading and thinking about it among other things. It seems to me that there are several flaws with the review, not all of its own making:
- An imaginative and useful shifting of tax from "goods" (work, investment) to "bads" (pollution, cost-causing personal behaviour) was not really on the table.
- A tedious and a bit pathetic obsession with investment and the company tax rate that seems based more on axioms than facts structured much of the report's thinking.
- The proposals it ends up recommending are a stringent attack on middle New Zealand families and prospects, by redistributing income from the middle to high income earners, and whacking those who have invested in the residential property market.
That said, the report is a far better effort than the ridiculous 2025 report that was the biggest waste of taxpayers' funds I have seen in a long time. Some of the suggestions read well to me or are worthy of further debate.
For instance:
- I agree that a basic alignment of PIE, trust and personal income tax rates might be worth looking at (but of course, given the deficit and the need to restart payments into the NZS Fund, I would level them up rather than down).
- The caveats about moving the company tax rate are important. The only effect of lowering the company tax rate, given our imputation system, is to give a tax break to foreign investors. We might want to consider why we should do that. Investment in New Zealand is largely tied to our land based resources - and so is probably not all that sensitive to marginal changes in the tax rate. We don't have highly mobile industries here, generally, that need massive flows of investment from offshore.
- The note that any change to GST would need to be compensated for among low income earners is a good head-nod to equity and distributive justice.
- There is an implicit suggestion that all economic income should be taxed. I agree with this wholeheartedly. The fact that some people can structure their affairs so as to not have their economic income taxed is completely unfair. Whether you call that a comprehensive tax on capital or a comprehensive tax on income is beside the point. If we taxed all economic income, we could cut the tax rates on all that income, and I wouldn't complain about that.
Overall a report to mull over and consider.
What I do not want to see, above all else, is a set of changes that simply transfers income from the families who need it most to the individuals who need it least. I doubt that is part of the Government's plan either.
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