Roy Morgan aren't one of my regular polls, but coming into Labour Party conference it is nice to see that their latest poll, taken 1-14 October, has the gap between Labour and National falling to 6.5% with Labour up six points to 39% and National down three points to 45.5%.
Of course we have an MMP electoral system. In this poll the left bloc vote is 46.5%, the right vote is 46%, the self-declared centre vote is 4.5% and the Maori Party is on 2%.
Talk about close. The same bloc relations (left being green labour and progs, right being nats and act, centre being nzfirst and unitedfuture, and mp out on their own) in recent polls are (and I think I have missed one or two!)
NZH Sept - 46.8L, 44.8+?R, ?C, ?MP
TV3 Sept - 44L, 48.5R, 3.3C, 1.8MP
ON/CB Sept - 44L, 50R, 4C, 3MP
The modest lift in the Left's performance is heartening, but even without it the next election was always going to be close. I find it somewhat entertaining that commentators in New Zealand's media have just assumed, because of National being ahead of Labour, that that could somehow determine the election result, so far out from an election.